Trading in Experimental Asset Markets under Knightian Uncertainty

نویسنده

  • Carmela Di Mauro
چکیده

Recent theoretical research shows that in asset markets vague state probabilities lead to price volatility, trading inertia, and may worsen risk-sharing efficiency, whereas Subjective Expected Utility theory implies that prices, volumes, and final allocations for risky and uncertain assets should be equivalent. We investigate experimentally whether prices, trading, and final allocations are affected in a market in which traders form subjective probabilities of payoffs. Results show that average prices for risky and uncertain assets converge. Price bubbles form in both markets even if subjects can arbitrage by trading fully hedged portfolios. Equivalent volumes of trade and risk-sharing efficiency are observed. JEL code: D81

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Viability and Arbitrage under Knightian Uncertainty

We reconsider the microeconomic foundations of financial economics under Knightian Uncertainty. In a general framework, we discuss the absence of arbitrage, its relation to economic viability, and the existence of suitable nonlinear pricing expectations. Classical financial markets under risk and no ambiguity are contained as special cases, including various forms of the Efficient Market Hypoth...

متن کامل

Uncertainty, Information Acquisition and Price Swings in Asset Markets

This paper studies asset markets where Knightian uncertainty about the fundamentals can be mitigated through costly information acquisition. In these markets, investors' information choices can be strategic complements, resulting in multiple equilibria, history-dependent prices, and large price swings occurring after small changes in uncertainty. Our model predicts the typical market response t...

متن کامل

Ambiguity, Information Acquisition and Price Swings in Asset Markets

This paper studies asset markets in which ambiguity averse investors face Knightian uncertainty about expected payo s. The same investors, however, might wish to resolve their uncertainty, although not risk, by just purchasing information. In these markets, uninformed and, hence, ambiguity averse, agents may coexist with informed agents, as a result of a rational information acquisition process...

متن کامل

Home Bias in Financial Markets: Robust Satisficing with Info Gaps

The observed patterns of equity portfolio allocation around the world are at odds with predictions from a capital asset pricing model (CAPM). What has come to be called the “home-bias” phenomenon is that investors tend to hold a disproportionately large share of their equity portfolio in home country stocks as compared with predictions of the CAPM. This paper provides an explanation of the home...

متن کامل

The Effect of Induced Mood on Prices in Experimental Asset Markets

In this paper we study the effect of induced positive mood on price patterns in experimental asset markets. Smith, Suchanek and Williams (1988) in their seminal paper documented bubbles and crashes in experimental asset markets (i.e., prices exceed fundamental value in the beginning and fall towards or below the fundamental value towards the end of the market). Since then, a number of studies h...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2003